Predicted Death Counts in the German National Cohort 2014 – 2110

Based on the study protocol of the German National Cohort (n = 200.000 between 20 and 69 years of age, recruited 2014 – 2018), one of the largest observational studies ever, and the model population data in the generation/cohort life tables of the German National Statistical Office, we deterministically predict total number of deaths of males and females from 2014 up to the last year 2110, when the youngest age group recruited – the birth cohort of 1998, recruited in 2018 – reaches age 112, the ultimate age in the generation life tables used here. We predict the death counts at any given calendar year that is ap…