Bayes, likelihood ratio and homeopathy
L Rutten · Allgemeine Homöopathische Zeitung · 2005 · Heft 05
Bibliografische Angaben
Zusammenfassung
Bayesian statistics and philosophy are even older than homeopathy, but only recently they have become one the most popular paradigms in science. As it happens, homeopathy is an excellent example of Bayesian thinking. Experience, like ‘Amelioration by motion is 10 times more frequent in Rhus toxicodendron patients than in other patients’ and ‘Rare symptoms are most important’, can be expressed in Bayesian terms like likelihood ratio (LR). Homeopathic diagnosis The choice of a homeopathic medicine is usually not based on one fact (diagnosis). In the Bayesian perspective we can describe the decision process: if we…